While we won't know for sure if that will happen for sure, one thing that is already known is that Mauer will definitely love the dimensions of Target Field.
The left field wall at Target Field will be 339 feet from home plate, four feet shorter than the left field wall at the Metrodome. While four feet doesn't seem like a lot, if Mauer continues to drive the ball towards that side of the field, he should be able to collect a few more home runs over the course of a season. How many? I doubt very many, but a few.
Here is Mauer's 2009 home run landing spots plot:
Obviously I'm not taking a few things into effect, some of which would be a negative and some of which could be positives. I haven't mentioned the hits to right field or to right-center, the positive/negative effect wind will have on the ball, and I'm also not taking into effect the number of "would have been" home runs he's hit on the road.
But with all of that said, is it that hard to imagine him hitting 4-5 more home runs because of just a few feet?
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